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How our Minnesota campaigns stack up in terms of social media

by: The Big E

Mon May 17, 2010 at 19:07:00 PM CDT


I read an interesting piece at Daily Kos today about how candidates from a random sampling of Senate and House races nationwide are doing in terms of social media.  The author was trying to answer, objectively, how Democrats were doing against Republicans.  Her reasoning was she doesn't think that the meme that Republicans are kicking our butts on social media is all that true.

This essay marks the beginning of an occasional series examining just that. Today, I'm focusing on some races for open Senate seats, two Republican, two Democratic. I'm also focusing on Twitter and Facebook. There are many more races to cover and many more forms of online media to look at -- how many times have their YouTube videos been viewed? Are they engaging with the blogosphere? What are their online ad buys like? Online fundraising, texting...there's a wealth of media to check out. But Twitter and Facebook are public metrics that are readily comparable.

We'll expect candidates to have more Facebook fans than followers on Twitter, because there are many more people on Facebook. But advertising on Facebook can rack up large numbers of fans relatively quickly, so a case where a candidate's Facebook-to-Twitter ratio seems out of the ordinary may suggest that the campaign has been advertising heavily on Facebook. (Which may be a good idea, mind you.) Also worth noting, some Republican candidates (including Peter Schiff in today's group) have created splash pages on Facebook -- when you search for them and initially go to the page, instead of seeing a normal Facebook wall there's...a splash page -- big graphic, sign-up, etc. I haven't yet found any Democrats who are doing that.

With this in mind, how do the competitive races in MN stack up?  I'll examine the MN-GOV, MN-02, MN-03 and MN-06 races.

The Big E :: How our Minnesota campaigns stack up in terms of social media
MN-GOVFacebookTwitterOnline ad buysYouTube
MAK (DFL)26431770NoneNo channel
top vids have 200-300 views
Mark Dayton (DFL)4085 personal
470 campaign
2147NoneNo channel
vids about him range from 200-400 views
Matt Entenza (DFL)2142 personal
751 campaign
874Yes24 subscribers
top vids have 1K-1250 views
Tom Emmer (R)56521219No idea33 subscribers
convention vid has 2K views
Tom Horner (IP)1008 personal
823 campaign
418None
Some
8 subscribers
Top vid has 300 views

Does Minnesota Governor's race exemplifies the stereotype that Republicans are winning at social media?  It seems like it does.  The obvious next question is does it matter?  Is doing well at social media the equivalent of winning the lawn sign war, i.e., "lawn signs don't vote."  DFL Party Chair Brian Melendez seems to think along these lines.  He had this to say about the DFL's social media strategy (from a City Pages discussion of Michele Bachmann's social media presence):

"I'd be surprised if Bachmann wasn't leading," he said. "Her full time job seems to be finding ways to publicize herself. She doesn't do anything else."

And he dismissed Bachmann's Twitter activity, and the Republicans' embrace of the platform, as "a tiny little eddy in the estuary" of social media.

"It's the entry-level tool," and the trendy tool of the moment, Melendez says, asserting that his party's social media bench was deeper and broader than anything the Republicans can bring to the match.

Melendez and the the DFL Party don't seem to have a strategy and this is playing out with their candidates.  The party can't help build up a candidate's presence because the party has few followers and is relatively inactive.  

FacebookTwitterOnline ad buysYouTube
DFL Party33721855Zerono channel
Brian Melendez86787n/ano channel

The party itself doesn't post much at all on it's own Facebook page.  Luckily, plenty of DFLers do.  Also, 3300 Facebook fans is a relatively small number considering the importance of the institution.  

The DFL twitter account, @MinnesotaDFL, is pretty active, but has nowhere near the following a state party could easily have.

On the other side, the Republicans understand that social media is important and work hard at it.   They are looking to gain any edge they can.  Emmer has rapidly gained a Facebook following and his Twitter following, while not large now, will also be climbing rapidly.  The Emmer campaign puts out a steady stream of information on both Facebook and Twitter.

Getting back to the DFL candidates ... Former US Senator Mark Dayton has the biggest Facebook following amongst the DFLers, but that's simply because he's so well known.  Entenza uses Twitter the best and Dayton uses it the least.  All three use Facebook well, but none have worked at building their following considering how high profile all three are.  

What is clear is that none of the three have worked that much on social media up til this point.  There is plenty of room for improvement.

MN-06FacebookTwitterOnline ad buysYouTube
Tarryl Clark (DFL)66953029LOTS!51 subscribers
"Why I'm running..." has 5K views
Michele Bachmann (R)29K for govt page
17K for campaign
16837Not that I'm aware of1918 subscribers
3K to 30K views

For all her insanity, lying and fear-mongering, Michele Bachmann is definitely taking advantage of her high profile and exploiting social media.  Hiring 4 communications staffers has also helped.  Bachmann is a role model of how to use TV and radio to fuel her social media presence.

Tarryl Clark is doing the best of all the DFL candidates in tough races.  She has a strategy and has been working it hard.  In the month before Sarah Palin visited MN on behalf of Bachmann, Clark's ads were all over the blogosphere and Facebook.  While she trails the queen of social media, she is gaining traction rapidly.  This will only snowball as the summer progresses and Bachmann says and does more insane ****.

MN-02FacebookTwitterOnline ad buysYouTube
Dan Powers (DFL)415 personal
574 campaign
986Yesno subscribers
37 views of his only vid
John Kline (R)1506176None12 subscribers
3500 views of his top vid

John Kline has been a do-nothing back-bencher for most of his political career.  This year he was thrust into the role of top minority member on the Health, Environment and Labor Committee.  He doesn't work Facebook or Twitter very hard, but he has no need.  Nobody has come close since he was elected.

Dan Powers is working hard at building a social media presence, but it seems that the DFLers in the district aren't following along.  Sadly, all the DFLers who have run against Kline have faced the same uphill battle to gain any momentum.  Dan is doing it correctly, hopefully it pays off.

MN-03FacebookTwitterOnline ad buysYouTube
Jim Meffert (DFL)801254A few1 subscriber
2 of his 3 vids have been views by 300+
Erik Paulsen2961 personal
811 campaign
3205None81 subscribers
Top vid has 300 views

Erik Paulsen hasn't worked his social media very hard at all.  This is somewhat surprising considering he knows that he will likely be a DCCC target.

Jim Meffert is using social media the least of all the DFL candidates I've examined.  The netroots has power, but it does take some work by the candidate and his staff to be able to exploit it.

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The eventual DFL primary winner (0.00 / 0)
should hire Xavier from A Better Minnesota.  He knows how to work the Tweets.

Dayton's Facebook (0.00 / 0)
Dayton has received a lot of flack from Facebook supporters because he made his Facebook page a place that only he can post. His Facebook friends are not allowed to post their own comments anymore. In one way I can see why he did this, but on the other hand, it's a really bad idea to do that. The idea of Facebook is to have supporters make comments. Dayton has another page, but there are only around 470 people on it, whereas on his regular Facebook page there are 4,099. He would do far better if he would open it back up to comments from others. It is extremely annoying for supporters not to be able to make comments. I know some candidates hate some of the comments that some of the Facebookers make, but those can always just be ignored. Only delete if foul language and/or extreme behavior is used. Social media is so important to campaigns now. Don't neglect to do it right. It could mean the difference between winning and losing the election, of course that's not the only thing that will make a difference. Media advertising is also very important, as always, as well as the kind of personal image of the candidate that is displayed to voters. Don't overlook any of these if you want to win.

Don't cook your own goose.

If they were in the right place... (0.00 / 0)
While these social media numbers may indicate use of social media, how much does this matter if the followers/friends are not in the district?

Bachmann's numbers for example are artificially high. People from across the state and country are following and friending her. I am willing to bet that the number of youtube watchers from the 6th district are a minute percentage of the 30,000 views.

Numbers matter and social media is great, but only if those who are being targeted and hit by the media can vote for that candidate.  


True (0.00 / 0)
That's true, but in the case of someone running for governor of Minnesota, I suspect that most of the Facebook members are indeed Minnesotans. Not all, but almost certainly most.

Don't cook your own goose.

[ Parent ]
Nat'l following (0.00 / 0)
But Bachmann can send a fundraising email, ask for money on Facebook and tweet a fundraising ask and get $5-10K.  All it takes is 15 minutes of a staffers time.  

She can also mobilize her followers to do stuff like send emails and etc.

That's why she's Queen of Social Media.


[ Parent ]
Tom Horner online ads (0.00 / 0)
I have seen online ads from the Horner campaign.  

Horner (0.00 / 0)
Tom Horner might do a lot better than anyone expects simply because Emmer is so rightwing Teaparty.  

Don't cook your own goose.

[ Parent ]
Does anyone ever wish we were part of an organizaed party? (0.00 / 0)
Just kidding mostly.  


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